Kiran's Blog on Global Financial Markets

This blog is to post my views on Financial Markets and to post interesting promo schemes that come to my knowledge. Use your discretion while taking trading decisions, as it is your money at stake.

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Sunday, 6 March 2011

Indian Market Analysis for coming week

The market had a volatile session and the Nifty closed at 5536, up by 14 points and the March futures were quoting at a premium of 17 points. Post-Budget , the market has shown a sharp move upwards responding positively to the Budget announcements which proved better than expected. The Nifty had seen huge short rollovers to the March series on subdued sentiments due to the Middle East turmoil and low Budget expectations. Any early resolution to the Middle-East tension could provide a positive trigger in the days to come which will encourage long build-up as well as short-covering . The F&O data suggest bias toward the banking, infra and metals sectors.

The auto sector also has shown good resurgence on the back of strong short-covering and Tata Motors & M&M have shown good momentum. Going forward, the market could consolidate at levels of 5450-5500 before rallying to 5600 where resistance could be expected. Beaten-down sectors, like infra and capital goods, could see a revival in sentiment and could be the sectors to watch out for. The oil sector could provide a sharp upward move and the three oil marketing companies appear attractive.

NIFTY STRATEGY

After a sharp rise, the market could go into a consolidation mode and with premium still ruling at high levels, one could adopt a bull spread strategy. Buy a call of March 5400 strike price which is quoting at around Rs 224 and simultaneously sell a 5600 strike price call at around 96.

STOCK-SPECIFIC

Buy a BPCL call at strike price of 560 ruling at around Rs 31, as the stock appears oversold and the same could be held for a maximum period of around 15 days. Alternatively , a HPCL call of strike price of 320 also could be considered for the same holding period. The same is ruling at around Rs 20.

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